Homeworklib Q&A #1260 - A study reports that recent college graduates from Conne
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Exercise 8-13 Static
a.Constructthe95%confidenceintervalforthemeandebtofallfromPennsylvania.
b.Usethe95%confidenceintervaltodetermineifthedebtofPennsylvaniaundergraduatesdifferfromthatofConnecticutundergraduates.
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a-1.Identifytherelevantparameterofinterestforthiscategoricalvariable.
a-2.Computethepointestimateaswellasthemarginoferrorwith90%confidence.
b.Youdecidetoredotheanalysiswiththemarginoferrorreducedto2%.Howlargeasampledoyouneedtodraw?
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Exercise 8-13 Static
Given Data:
c=95%(confidence level)
σ=$5,000(population standard deviation)
n =40(sample size; number of data from recent undergraduates)
$24040 | $19153 | $26762 | $31923 | $31533 | $34207 | $14623 | $24370 | $31016 | $20107 |
$22090 | $17089 | $16306 | $20653 | $21673 | $14951 | $22701 | $23521 | $26215 | $23714 |
$23906 | $23690 | $32254 | $25115 | $24610 | $22975 | $35402 | $29869 | $37419 | $22266 |
$33848 | $17479 | $28236 | $30052 | $35136 | $25118 | $22922 | $28917 | $23634 | $29329 |
Solution:
a.Constructthe95%confidenceintervalforthemeandebtofallfromPennsylvania.
In the given problem, the sample size is greater than 30 (n = 40 > 30). Additionally, the population standard deviation is known σ = $5,000. (Note: The population standard deviation (σ) is different from the sample standard deviation (s)). In this case, knowing that the sample size (n) is greater than 30 and that the population standard deviation is known, we use a z-distribution.
Now, to determine the confidence interval, we can do as follows:
Step 1: Calculate the sample mean x.
The sample mean x is the average of the data, so we add all the data up and then divide the sum by the number of data. In this case,
x=n∑x
x=40$24,040+$19,153+$26,762+$31,923+$31,533+$34,207+$14,623+$24,370+$31,016+$20,107+
$22,090+$17,089+$16,306+$20,653+$21,673+$14,951+$22,701+$23,521+$26,215+$23,714+$23,906+
$23,690+$32,254+$25,115+$24,610+$22,975+$35,402+$29,869+$37,419+$22,266+$33,848+$17,479+$28,236+
$30,052+$35,136+$25,118+$22,922+$28,917+$23,634+$29,329
x=40$1,018,824
x=$25,470.6
Therefore, the sample mean is equal to:
x=$25,470.6
Step 2: Determine the significance level α.
By definition, the significance level (α) can be calculated by subtracting 1 with the given confidence level of 95%. Hence,
α=1−0.95=0.05(significance level)
Step 3: Calculate the critical value z and draw a graph.
The value of the critical value z can be determined by knowing the area represented by the significance level. In this case, the area represented by the significance level are the areas at the left end and the right end of the distribution curve. Knowing this, we divide the significance level by two to get (2α=0.025) the area in the left and in the right. This can be illustrated clearly in the following distribution curve:
Using the z-distribution table, we can determine the corresponding critical value z for a probability area of 2α=0.025. Doing so, we get the absolute value of the critical value z as:
z=∣z2α∣=∣±1.96∣=1.96.
Step 4: Calculate the margin of error.
The formula for the margin of error is expressed as:
E=z(n
σ)
Where z is the value of the critical value, σ is the population standard deviation, and n is the sample size. Substituting the values, we get:
E=1.96(40
$5,000)=$1549.516053
Hence, the margin of error at a 95% confidence level is:
E=$1549.516053
Step 5: Determine the 95% confidence interval.
The confidence interval can be calculated using the formula expressed as:
Confidence Interval=x±E
Where x̄ is the sample mean and E is the margin of error calculated in the previous section. Substituting the values, we get:
Confidence Interval=$25,470.6±$1549.516053
Hence, the confidence interval of the population mean is:
Confidence Interval=($23,921.08395,$27,020.11605)
Rounding to two decimal places, we get:
Confidence Interval=($23,921.08,$27,020.12)
Therefore, the 95% confidence interval is:
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b.Usethe95%confidenceintervaltodetermineifthedebtofPennsylvaniaundergraduatesdifferfromthatofConnecticutundergraduates.
Comparing the constructed confidence interval to the average debt ($38,510) of college graduates from Connecticut, we can see that the average debt of college graduates from Connecticut is higher than the constructed confidence interval. Hence, we can say that there is a difference.
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Exercise 8-69 Static
p |
=70%(sample proportion)
n=400(sample size; number of people in the survey)
Confidence Level=90%=0.90
Solution:
a-1.Identifytherelevantparameterofinterestforthiscategoricalvariable.
From the given choices, the answer is:
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a-2.Computethepointestimateaswellasthemarginoferrorwith90%confidence.
The sample proportion serves as the point estimate for the true population proportion. So, in this case, the point estimate is the sample proportion of people in the 50 to 64 age bracket who have tried some type of alternative therapy.
|
=70%=0.70 |
Now, to determine the margin of error with 90% confidence, we can do as follows:
Step 1: Calculate for the significance level α.
By definition, the significance level (α) can be calculated by subtracting 1 with the confidence level of 90%. Hence,
α=1−0.90=0.10(significance level)
Step 2: Calculate for the z-value and draw a graph.
The value for the z-value can be determined by knowing the area represented by the significance level. In this case, the area represented by the significance level are the areas at the left end and the right end of the distribution curve. Knowing this, we divide the significance level by two to get (2α=0.050) the area in the left and in the right. |
Using the z distribution table we can determine the corresponding z-value for an area of 2α=0.050. Doing so, we get the absolute value of the z-value as:
z=∣z2α∣=∣±1.645∣=1.645
Step 3: Calculate the margin of error.
The formula for the margin of error of a proportion is expressed as:
E=z2αnp
(1−p)
Substituting the values, we get:
E=1.645400.70(1−0.70)
Therefore, the point estimate as well as the margin of error with 90% confidence is:
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b.Youdecidetoredotheanalysiswiththemarginoferrorreducedto2%.Howlargeasampledoyouneedtodraw?
Additional given data:
E=2%(margin of error)
In part a-2, we have determined that for a 90% confidence, the critical value z is:
z=∣z2α∣=∣±1.96∣=1.96
E=znp |
Substituting the values, we get:
E=znp
(1−p)
2%=1.645n0.7(1−0.7)
Solving for the value of the sample size n, we get:
0.02=1.645n0.7(0.3)
1.6450.02=n0.21
(1.6450.02)2=n0.21
n=(1.6450.02)20.21
n=1420.663125
n≈1421
Therefore, the sample size is:
Sample size | 1421 |
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